{"id":111958,"date":"2020-01-29T14:54:05","date_gmt":"2020-01-29T14:54:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dev.tg4.ie\/?page_id=111958"},"modified":"2020-01-29T14:54:05","modified_gmt":"2020-01-29T14:54:05","slug":"vota-2020-pobalbhreith-tg4-ipsos-mrbi-gaillimh-thiar","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/dev.tg4.ie\/ga\/eolas\/preas\/nuacht-raitis\/2020-2\/vota-2020-pobalbhreith-tg4-ipsos-mrbi-gaillimh-thiar\/","title":{"rendered":"V\u00f3ta 2020 &#8211; Pobalbhreith TG4 \/ Ipsos MRBI Gaillimh Thiar"},"content":{"rendered":"<h3>Na Daonlathaithe S\u00f3isialta agus Comhaontas Glas i gcoimhlint lena ch\u00e9ile chun su\u00edoch\u00e1in a thabhairt leo i nGaillimh Thiar, D\u00e1ilcheantar ina bhfuil 5 shu\u00edoch\u00e1n<\/h3>\n<p>&nbsp;<br \/>\nL\u00e9ir\u00edtear i dtortha\u00ed phobalbhreith d\u00e1ilcheantair TG4\/Ipsos MRBI don chl\u00e1r &#8216;V\u00f3ta 2020&#8217; go bhf\u00e9adfadh s\u00e9 a bheith ina choimhlint gh\u00e9ar i nGaillimh Thiar. T\u00e1 c\u00faigear Teachta\u00ed D\u00e1la reatha chomh maith le c\u00faigear iarrth\u00f3ir\u00ed eile n\u00f3 mar sin san ioma\u00edocht agus s\u00fail acu su\u00edoch\u00e1n a bhaint amach.\u00a0\u00a0 17% an cu\u00f3ta i nGaillimh Thiar agus de r\u00e9ir na pobalbhreithe seo, n\u00ed bheidh d\u00f3thain v\u00f3ta\u00ed c\u00e9adrogha ag aon duine de na hiarrth\u00f3ir\u00ed chun an cu\u00f3ta a bhaint amach. Beidh s\u00e9 ina sciob sceab mar sin idir na hiarrth\u00f3ir\u00ed don ch\u00faig shu\u00edoch\u00e1n.<\/p>\n<p>Chuathas i mbun phobalbhreith TG4\/Ipsos MRBI ar shampla 525 duine f\u00e1sta a bh\u00ed 18 mbliana d\u00e9ag d&#8217;aois agus n\u00edos sine.\u00a0 Rinneadh na hagallaimh an 24 agus 26 Ean\u00e1ir<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>Taca\u00edocht na bP\u00e1irtithe i nGaillimh Thiar (V\u00f3ta Uimhir 1)<\/strong><\/p>\n<table width=\"100%\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"30%\">&nbsp;<\/td>\n<td width=\"30%\"><strong><em>P\u00e1irt\u00ed<\/em><\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"20%\"><strong><em>PB &#8217;20<\/em><\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"20%\"><strong><em>OT &#8217;16<\/em><\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"30%\"><strong>Hildegarde NAUGHTON<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"30%\">Fine Gael<\/td>\n<td width=\"20%\"><strong><em>13%<\/em><\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"20%\">7%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"30%\"><strong>\u00c9amon \u00d3 CU\u00cdV<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"30%\">Fianna F\u00e1il<\/td>\n<td width=\"20%\"><strong><em>12%<\/em><\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"20%\">15%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"30%\"><strong>Niall \u00d3 TUATHAIL<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"30%\">Na Daonlathaithe S\u00f3isialta<\/td>\n<td width=\"20%\"><strong><em>12%<\/em><\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"20%\">5%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"30%\"><strong>Pauline O&#8217;REILLY<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"30%\">Comhaontas Glas<\/td>\n<td width=\"20%\"><strong><em>10%<\/em><\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"20%\">&nbsp;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"30%\"><strong>Se\u00e1n KYNE<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"30%\">Fine Gael<\/td>\n<td width=\"20%\"><strong><em>10%<\/em><\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"20%\">10%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"30%\"><strong>Catherine CONNOLLY<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"30%\">Neamhsple\u00e1ch<\/td>\n<td width=\"20%\"><strong><em>9%<\/em><\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"20%\">8%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"30%\"><strong>Ollie CROWE<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"30%\">Fianna F\u00e1il<\/td>\n<td width=\"20%\"><strong><em>8%<\/em><\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"20%\">&nbsp;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"30%\"><strong>Noel GREALISH<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"30%\">Neamhsple\u00e1ch<\/td>\n<td width=\"20%\"><strong><em>7%<\/em><\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"20%\">11%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"30%\"><strong>Mair\u00e9ad FARRELL<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"30%\">Sinn F\u00e9in<\/td>\n<td width=\"20%\"><strong><em>7%<\/em><\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"20%\">&nbsp;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"30%\"><strong>N\u00edall McNELIS<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"30%\">Lucht Oibre<\/td>\n<td width=\"20%\"><strong><em>5%<\/em><\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"20%\">&nbsp;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"30%\"><strong>Mike CUBBARD<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"30%\">Neamhsple\u00e1ch<\/td>\n<td width=\"20%\"><strong><em>3%<\/em><\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"20%\">3%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"30%\"><strong>Joe LOUGHNANE<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"30%\">Dl\u00fathph\u00e1irt\u00edocht Pobal Roimh Bhrab\u00fas<\/td>\n<td width=\"20%\"><strong><em>2%<\/em><\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"20%\">&nbsp;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"30%\"><strong>Cormac \u00d3 CORCOR\u00c1IN<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"30%\">Aont\u00fa<\/td>\n<td width=\"20%\"><strong><em>1%<\/em><\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"20%\">&nbsp;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>Taca\u00edocht na bP\u00e1irtithe i nD\u00e1ilcheantar Ghaillimh Thiar (V\u00f3ta <\/strong><strong>Uimhir 1)<\/strong><\/p>\n<table width=\"100%\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"34%\">&nbsp;<\/td>\n<td width=\"33%\"><strong><em>PB &#8217;20<\/em><\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"33%\">OT &#8217;16<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"34%\">Fine Gael<\/td>\n<td width=\"33%\"><strong><em>23%<\/em><\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"33%\">24%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"34%\">Fianna F\u00e1il<\/td>\n<td width=\"33%\"><strong><em>20%<\/em><\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"33%\">24%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"34%\">Sinn F\u00e9in<\/td>\n<td width=\"33%\"><strong><em>7%<\/em><\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"33%\">9%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"34%\">Lucht Oibre<\/td>\n<td width=\"33%\"><strong><em>5%<\/em><\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"33%\">5%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"34%\">Na Daonlathaithe S\u00f3isialta<\/td>\n<td width=\"33%\"><strong><em>12%<\/em><\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"33%\">5%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"34%\">Comhaontas Glas<\/td>\n<td width=\"33%\"><strong><em>10%<\/em><\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"33%\">2%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"34%\">Neamhsple\u00e1ch\/Eile<\/td>\n<td width=\"33%\"><strong><em>22%<\/em><\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"33%\">30%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>B\u00edonn ioma\u00edocht mh\u00f3r i gc\u00f3na\u00ed i nD\u00e1ilcheantar Ghaillimh Thiar.\u00a0 Ba ar Chomhaireamh 9 a toghadh an ch\u00e9ad TD i nGaillimh Thiar in 2016, agus ba ar Chomhaireamh 13 a toghadh an ch\u00e9ad iarrth\u00f3ir eile.\u00a0\u00a0 \u00d3 2016, t\u00e1 athr\u00fa beag d\u00e9anta ar\u00eds ar theorainneacha an d\u00e1ilcheantair. T\u00e1 roinnt ceantar aistrithe chuig Gaillimh Thoir agus t\u00e1 roinnt ceantar i Maigh Eo aistrithe ar ais go Maigh Eo.\u00a0 15 ainm at\u00e1 ar an mball\u00f3id an uair seo agus beidh ioma\u00edocht n\u00edos g\u00e9ire ann do na su\u00edoch\u00e1in.\u00a0 Mar a bh\u00edonn de ghn\u00e1th, beidh na v\u00f3ta\u00ed aistrithe r\u00edth\u00e1bhachtach.<\/p>\n<p>Nuair a fh\u00e9achtar ar thaca\u00edocht na bp\u00e1irtithe bunaithe ar thaca\u00edocht na n-iarrth\u00f3ir\u00ed na bp\u00e1irtithe sin a thabhairt le ch\u00e9ile, s\u00e1ra\u00edonn Fine Gael (le 23%) agus Fianna F\u00e1il (le 20%) cu\u00f3ta amh\u00e1in, agus mar sin is d\u00f3cha go n-\u00e9ireoidh leis an d\u00e1 ph\u00e1irt\u00ed sin su\u00edoch\u00e1n amh\u00e1in ar a laghad a bhaint amach. T\u00e1 iarrth\u00f3ir\u00ed a bhfuil eolas m\u00f3r orthu ag Fianna F\u00e1il agus ag Fine Gael i nGaillimh Thiar agus l\u00e9ir\u00edtear sa phobalbhreith seo go bhfuil an bheirt sin chun cinn. T\u00e1 taca\u00edocht d&#8217;\u00c9amon \u00d3 Cu\u00edv (ar 12%) agus don Aire St\u00e1it Se\u00e1n Kyne (ar 10%) s\u00edos beag\u00e1n le hais na bliana 2016 ach t\u00e1 lamh\u00e1il earr\u00e1ide 4% i gceist leis an bpobalbhreith \u00e1irithe seo.<\/p>\n<p>An ghn\u00e9 is m\u00f3 a l\u00e9ir\u00edonn an ioma\u00edocht mh\u00f3r a bh\u00edonn i gceist leis an olltoghch\u00e1n seo \u00e1fach n\u00e1 n\u00e1r \u00e9irigh le ceachtar den bheirt iarrth\u00f3ir\u00ed seo barr na pobalbhreithe seo a bhaint amach.\u00a0\u00a0 Is \u00ed Teachta D\u00e1la reatha eile Fhine Gael, Hildegarde Naughton ar \u00e9irigh l\u00e9i sin a dh\u00e9anamh agus ag 13%, t\u00e1 feabhas ollmh\u00f3r tagtha ar a cuid figi\u00fair\u00ed \u00f3 bh\u00ed olltoghch\u00e1n 2016 ann.<\/p>\n<p>Is f\u00e9idir le dara iarrth\u00f3ir Fhianna F\u00e1il, an Comhairleoir Cathrach Ollie Crowe, a bheith s\u00e1sta lena sc\u00f3r f\u00e9in, 8% sa phobalbhreith seo mar gheall gur iarrth\u00f3ir nua \u00e9 don bhliain 2020. Beidh seisean ag f\u00e9achaint leis an taca\u00edocht dhaingean at\u00e1 aige sa chathair a leathadh amach go dt\u00ed an chuid eile den d\u00e1ilcheantar.\u00a0 T\u00e1 Fianna F\u00e1il agus Fine Gael araon tite go maith faoi bhun an d\u00e1 chu\u00f3ta; FG ar 23% agus FF ar 20%, ach de bharr go bhfuil cruthaithe go maith ag Teachta\u00ed D\u00e1la reatha FG sa phobalbhreith seo, beidh an d\u00e1 ph\u00e1irt\u00ed den tuairim go bhfuil seans maith acu an dara su\u00edoch\u00e1n a bhaint amach i nGaillimh Thiar.<\/p>\n<p>Mheas go leor go gcruth\u00f3dh Niall \u00d3 Tuathail \u00f3 na Daonlathaithe S\u00f3isialta n\u00f3 Pauline O&#8217;Reilly, urlabhra\u00ed maidir le Gn\u00f3tha\u00ed Leana\u00ed agus \u00d3ige Chomhantas Glas, go maith sa phobalbhreith seo, agus d&#8217;fh\u00e9adfadh s\u00e9 go mbeadh iontas ar dhaoine go bhfuil siad i gceartl\u00e1r an aonaigh (ar 12% agus ar 10% faoi seach). Bh\u00ed an bheirt \u00e1fach, thar a bheith gn\u00edomhach ag cur leis an taca\u00edocht l\u00e1idir at\u00e1 acu, Niall \u00d3 Tuathail \u00f3n toradh maith a fuair s\u00e9 in olltoghch\u00e1n 2016 agus O&#8217;Reilly \u00f3 thoghch\u00e1in \u00e1iti\u00fala na bliana anuraidh.\u00a0 Breathna\u00edonn s\u00e9 go mbeidh an-seans acu beirt de r\u00e9ir thortha\u00ed na pobalbhreithe seo, a l\u00e9ir\u00edonn go bhfuil an-t\u00f3ir ag an lucht v\u00f3t\u00e1la n\u00edos \u00f3ige ach go h\u00e1irithe orthu.<\/p>\n<p><span>T\u00e1 cruthaithe go maith ag na Teachta\u00ed D\u00e1la Neamhsple\u00e1cha reatha chomh maith sa phobalbhreith seo, taca\u00edocht 7% at\u00e1 ag Noel Grealish agus 9% at\u00e1 ag Catherine Connolly.\u00a0 T\u00e1 an-chur amach ag an mbeirt seo ar fheachtais toghch\u00e1in agus t\u00e1 taca\u00edocht l\u00e1idir acu. \u00c9ir\u00edonn leo go maith go hiond\u00fail nuair a roinntear na v\u00f3ta\u00ed aistrithe.\u00a0 Breathna\u00edonn s\u00e9 go mbeidh na v\u00f3ta\u00ed aistrithe r\u00edth\u00e1bhachtach ar go leor beala\u00ed chun tortha\u00ed an olltoghch\u00e1in seo a chinneadh.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>C\u00e9 go bhfuil v\u00f3ta Shinn f\u00e9in s\u00edos ar an mbliain 2016, t\u00e1 siad tagtha chucu f\u00e9in go maith \u00f3n m\u00e9id taca\u00edochta a fuair siad sna toghch\u00e1in \u00e1iti\u00fala anuraidh. Iarrth\u00f3ir nua \u00ed Mair\u00e9ad Farrell, is f\u00e9idir leo a bheith s\u00e1sta go mbeidh siad \u00e1balta cur leis an sc\u00f3r 7% at\u00e1 faighte aici agus go leor ama f\u00f3s fanta sula mbeidh an t-olltoghch\u00e1n ann agus an chos\u00falacht ar an sc\u00e9al go bhfuil taca\u00edocht an ph\u00e1irt\u00ed ag dul i m\u00e9id ar fud na t\u00edre.<\/p>\n<p>4% an lamh\u00e1il earr\u00e1ide sa phobalbhreith seo, an figi\u00far c\u00e9anna at\u00e1 idir an 6 iarrth\u00f3ir\u00ed at\u00e1 ag barr phobalbhreith Ipsos MRBI.\u00a0 Mar a d\u00faradh ar ball, bh\u00ed ioma\u00edocht gh\u00e9ar ann an uair deiridh agus d&#8217;fh\u00e9adfadh ioma\u00edocht n\u00edos g\u00e9ire ar\u00eds a bheith i gceist leis an olltoghch\u00e1n seo.\u00a0 Go deimhin, beidh iarrth\u00f3ir\u00ed at\u00e1 n\u00edos faide s\u00edos an liosta, daoine mar an Comhairleoir Niall McNelis \u00f3 ph\u00e1irt\u00ed an Lucht Oibre (ar 5%) at\u00e1 sa deichi\u00fa h\u00e1it sa phobalbhreith seo, ag meas go mbeidh s\u00e9 \u00e1balta a bheith san ioma\u00edocht don su\u00edoch\u00e1n deiridh, su\u00edoch\u00e1n a mb\u00edonn s\u00e9 ina chogadh dearg faoi, \u00f3 glacadh an phobalbhreith seo agus coic\u00eds fanta sa bhfeachtas.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>N\u00f3ta\u00ed d&#8217;Eagarth\u00f3ir\u00ed:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Is \u00ed seo an dara pobalbhreith at\u00e1 coimisi\u00fanaithe ag TG4 \/ Ipsos mar chuid de chl\u00fadach TG4 ar olltoghch\u00e1n 2020. D\u00e9 M\u00e1irt seo chugainn (an 4 Feabhra) tabharfar tortha\u00ed phobalbreith Ipsos MRBI ar Dh\u00e1ilcheantar Chiarra\u00ed le fios ar chl\u00e1r &#8216;V\u00f3ta 2020&#8217;.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>Modheola\u00edocht:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><em>Ar gach sl\u00ed, chuathas i mbun an tsuirbh\u00e9 seo laistigh de na treoirl\u00ednte at\u00e1 leagtha amach ag AMIRO agus ESOMAR. Rinneadh 505 agallamh le CATI (agallaimh theileaf\u00f3in r\u00edomhchuidithe). Rinneadh na freagr\u00f3ir\u00ed a roghn\u00fa \u00f3 bhunachar sonra\u00ed d&#8217;uimhreacha l\u00ednte tal\u00fan agus d&#8217;uimhreacha f\u00f3in p\u00f3ca a crutha\u00edodh tr\u00ed Dhiaili\u00fa Uimhreacha Randamacha. Rinneadh an 20 agallamh eile duine le duine ag dh\u00e1 phointe sampl\u00e1la i gcoirn\u00e9al Mhaigh Eo de Dh\u00e1ilcheantar Ghaillimh Thiar.\u00a0 Ag an gc\u00e9im anail\u00edse, rinneadh an sampla a ual\u00fa chun go mbeadh s\u00e9 ag teacht le pr\u00f3if\u00edl na v\u00f3t\u00e1laithe sa phobalbhreith seo agus le pr\u00f3if\u00edl v\u00f3t\u00e1laithe na h\u00c9ireann \u00f3n bPobalbhreith d\u00edreach tar \u00e9is V\u00f3t\u00e1la ar Olltoghch\u00e1n 2016 a rinne an Irish Times\/Ipsos MRBI. Ina theannta sin, iarraidh ar na freagr\u00f3ir\u00ed go l\u00e9ir an luach at\u00e1 lena v\u00f3ta ar sc\u00e1la 1 go 10 a thabhairt le fios, agus gurbh \u00e9 a bh\u00ed i gceist le 1 &#8220;nach nd\u00e9anann s\u00e9 aon difr\u00edocht&#8221; agus gurbh \u00e9 a bh\u00ed i gceist le 10 &#8220;d\u00e9anann s\u00e9 go leor difr\u00edochta&#8221;. Caitheadh leis an dream a thug 1 mar fhreagra ar an gceist seo mar dhaoine nach gcaitheann v\u00f3ta agus cuireadh as an \u00e1ireamh iad \u00f3nar \u00e1ireamh maidir le rogha iarrth\u00f3ir\u00ed, chomh maith leo sin nach bhfuil a fhios acu c\u00e9 dh\u00f3 a chaithfidh siad v\u00f3ta n\u00f3 a d\u00fairt nach mbeidh siad ag v\u00f3t\u00e1il.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Na Daonlathaithe S\u00f3isialta agus Comhaontas Glas i gcoimhlint lena ch\u00e9ile chun su\u00edoch\u00e1in a thabhairt leo i nGaillimh Thiar, D\u00e1ilcheantar ina bhfuil 5 shu\u00edoch\u00e1n &nbsp; L\u00e9ir\u00edtear i dtortha\u00ed phobalbhreith d\u00e1ilcheantair TG4\/Ipsos MRBI don chl\u00e1r &#8216;V\u00f3ta 2020&#8217; go bhf\u00e9adfadh s\u00e9 a bheith ina choimhlint gh\u00e9ar i nGaillimh Thiar. T\u00e1 c\u00faigear Teachta\u00ed D\u00e1la reatha chomh maith le c\u00faigear [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":876,"featured_media":111713,"parent":111525,"menu_order":7,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"page-templates\/template-pr.php","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>V\u00f3ta 2020 - Pobalbhreith TG4 \/ Ipsos MRBI Gaillimh Thiar | Preas R\u00e1iteas | TG4<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"V\u00f3ta 2020 - Pobalbhreith TG4 \/ Ipsos MRBI Gaillimh Thiar | Preas R\u00e1iteas | TG4\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Na Daonlathaithe S\u00f3isialta agus Comhaontas Glas i gcoimhlint lena ch\u00e9ile chun su\u00edoch\u00e1in a thabhairt leo i nGaillimh Thiar, D\u00e1ilcheantar ina bhfuil 5 shu\u00edoch\u00e1n &nbsp; L\u00e9ir\u00edtear i dtortha\u00ed phobalbhreith d\u00e1ilcheantair TG4\/Ipsos MRBI don chl\u00e1r &#8216;V\u00f3ta 2020&#8217; go bhf\u00e9adfadh s\u00e9 a bheith ina choimhlint gh\u00e9ar i nGaillimh Thiar. 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